Probability Quotes

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probability-expectation-are-not-same-its-probability-probability-times-pay-off-nassim-nicholas-taleb
The Hartle-Hawking derivation of the unconditional probability of the existence of a universe of our sort is inconsistent with classical theism. The unconditional probability is very high, near to 1. For purposes of simplification, we are saying the probability is 99 percent; there is a 99 percent probability that a universe of our sort-I will call it a Hartle-Hawking universe-exists uncaused. The universe exists uncaused since the probability amplitude is determined by a summation or path integral over all possible histories of a finite universe. That is, the probability that a Hartle-Hawking universe exists follows directly from the natural-mathematical properties of possible finite universes; there is no need for a cause, probabilistic or otherwise, for there to be a 99 percent probability that a Hartle-Hawking universe will exist. This is not consistent with classical theism. According to classical theism, if a universe is to have any probability of existing, this probability is dependent on God's dispositions, beliefs, or choices. But the Hartle-Hawking probability is not dependent on any supernatural states or acts; Hartle and Hawking do not sum over anything supernatural in their path integral derivation of the probability amplitude. Furthermore, according to classical theism, the probability that a universe exist without divine causation is 0, and the probability that if a universe exists, it is divinely caused, is 1. Thus, the probabilities that are implied by classical theism are inconsistent with the probabilities implied by the Hartle-Hawking wave function of the universe.

Quentin Smith
the-hartlehawking-derivation-unconditional-probability-existence-universe-our-sort-is-inconsistent-with-classical-theism-the-unconditional-probability-is-high-near-to-1-for-purpo
if-you-are-using-probability-arguments-wit-yourself-you-are-saying-i-want-to-live-life-like-everybody-else-by-definition-exceptional-life-is-life-low-probability-derric-yuh-ndim
but-to-us-probability-is-guide-life-joseph-butler
an-electron-is-real-probability-is-not-hans-christian-von-baeyer
all-knowledge-degenerates-into-probability-david-hume
we-must-become-more-comfortable-with-probability-uncertainty
but-to-us-probability-is-guide-life
life-is-school-probability-walter-bagehot
if-you-look-like-your-passport-photo-in-all-probability-you-need-journey-earl-wilson
it-is-part-probability-that-many-improbabilities-will-happen-aristotle
information-negative-reciprocal-value-probability
open-your-thoughts-to-probability-that-you-are-more-intuitive-than-you-realize-sylvia-clare
we-can-say-with-certainty-90-probability-that-new-industries-that-are-about-to-be-born-will-have-nothing-to-do-with-information-peter-drucker
the-laws-probability-true-in-general-fallacious-in-particular-edward-gibbon
a-brick-can-be-used-to-represent-zero-probability-this-book-being-any-good-amy-summers
the-consequences-act-affect-probability-its-occurring-again-b-f-skinner
hard-work-increases-probability-serendipity-ken-poirot
probability-fractions-arise-from-our-knowledge-from-our-ignorance-ian-hacking
watson-you-may-be-right-holmes-the-probability-lies-in-that-direction-arthur-conan-doyle
embrace-probability-your-imminent-death-know-there-is-nothing-i-can-do-to-save-you-suzanne-collins
we-may-not-be-able-to-get-certainty-but-we-can-get-probability-half-loaf-is-better-than-no-bread-c-s-lewis
the-505090-rule-anytime-you-have-5050-chance-getting-something-right-theres-90-probability-youll-get-it-wrong-andy-rooney
the-probability-of-someone-watching-you-is-proportional-to-the-stupidity-of-your-action
death-is-always-constant-possibility-probability-course-inevitability-as-well-cornel-west
open-your-thoughts-to-probability-that-you-are-more-intuitive-than-you-realise-sylvia-clare
without-strategy-you-greatly-increase-your-probability-to-fail-jeffrey-benjamin
let-probability-sample-size-do-heavy-lifting-donald-miller
the-consequences-of-an-act-affect-the-probability-of-its-occurring-again
the-probability-of-someone-laughing-at-you-is-proportional-to-the-stupidity-of-your-actions
the-probability-that-we-may-fail-in-the-struggle-ought-not-to-deter-us-from-the-support-of-a-cause-we-believe-to-be-just
the-505090-rule-anytime-you-have-a-5050-chance-of-getting-something-right-theres-a-90-probability-youll-get-it-wrong
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